Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
An interesting life
Unusually sophisticated and pioneering analysis
Seems to have had little to no influence
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
Essay on the Nature of Commerce (1775), published 21 years after his death
One of the greatest writings in the history of economics, comparable with Smith
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“The Land is the Source or Matter from whence all Wealth is produced. The Labour of man is the Form which produces it: and Wealth in itself is nothing but the Maintenance, Conveniences, and Superfluities of Life” (p.3)
“All Classes and Individuals in a State subsist or are enriched at the Expense of the Proprietors of Land” (p.43)
“The Fancies, the Fashions and Modes of Living of the Prince, and especially of the Landowners, determine the use to which Land is put in a State and cause the variations in the Market-prices of all things.” (p.71)
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“Some Handicrafts-men earn more, others less, according to the different Cases and Circumstances...The Number of Labourers, Handicrafts-men and others, who work in a State is naturally proportioned to the Demand for them” (p.21)
“Intrinsic Value of a Thing”—the price around which the market price will tend to oscillate: “the Price or intrinsic value of a thing [in general] is the measure of the quantity of Land and of Labour entering into its production.” (p.20)
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“The circulation and exchange of goods and merchandise as well as their production are carried on in Europe by Undertakers and are at a risk.”
French: entrepreneurs
Society can be divided into contractually-remunerated labor earning fixed wages, and those who are unhired and live by speculating on the future of markets
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“Men multiply like Mice in a barn if they have unlimited Means of Subsistence; and the English in the Colonies will become more numerous in proportion in three generations than they would be in thirty in England, because in the Colonies they find for cultivation new tracts of land from which they drive the Savages,” (p.83)
“It is also a question outside of my subject whether it is better to have a great multitude of Inhabitants, poor and badly provided, than a smaller number, much more at their ease” (p.85)
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“Several maîtres d’hôtels [at Paris] have been told to buy green Peas when they first come in. One Master has ordered the purchase of 10 quarts for 60 livres, another 10 quarts for 50 livres, a third 10 for 40 livres and a fourth 10 for 30 livres. If these orders are to be carried out there must be 40 quarts of green Peas in the Market. Suppose there are only 20. The Vendors, seeing many Buyers, will keep up their Prices, and the Buyers will come up to the Prices prescribed to them: so that those who offer 60 livres for 10 quarts will be the first served. The Sellers, seeing later that no one will go above 50, will let the other 10 quarts go at that price. Those who had orders not to exceed 40 and 30 livres will go away empty,” (p.119-121)
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“M. Locke lays it down as a fundamental maxim that the quantity of produce and merchandise in proportion to the quantity of money serves as the regulator of Market price. I have tried to elucidate his idea in the preceding Chapters: he has clearly seen that the abundance of money makes everything dear, but he has not considered how it does so. The great difficulty of this question consists in knowing in what way and in what proportion the increase of money raises prices,” (p.161)
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“From all this I conclude that by doubling the quantity of money in a State the prices of products and merchandise are not always doubled. A River which runs and winds about in its bed will not flow with double the speed when the amount of its water is doubled,” (p.177).
Richard Cantillon (?)
1680-1734
“It is then undoubted that a Bank with the complicity of a Minister is able to raise and support the price of public stock and to lower the rate of interest in the State at the pleasure of this Minister when the steps are taken discreetly, and thus pay off the State debt. But these refinements which open the door to making large fortunes are rarely carried out for the sole advantage of the State, and those who take part in them are generally corrupted. The excess banknotes, made and issued on these occasions, do not upset the circulation, because being used for the buy- ing and selling of stock they do not serve for household expenses and are not changed into silver. But if some panic or unforeseen crisis drove the holders to demand silver from the Bank, the bomb would burst and it would be seen that these are dangerous operations,” (p.323).
South Seas Bubble in England: 1711-1720
Mississippi Bubble in France: 1716-1719
The Governor and Company of the merchants of Great Britain, trading to the South Seas and other parts of America, and for the encouragement of the Fishery
To generate income, obtained a monopoly on supplying Spanish American colonies with slaves from Africa
Britain was currently at war with Spain and Portugal!
“South seas” = Central & South America (owned by Spain & Portugal!)
Bank of England (1694) only recently established as monopoly lender to British government
Reconsolidated government debt into ownership rights in South Sea Company; government would make payments to the company, distributed as dividends to shareholders
Stock price of the South Sea Company boomed on speculation
Share prices of the South Sea Company
Sudden collapse wiped out the wealth of a generation in England
Parliament passed the Bubble Act in 1719, prohibited formation of a joint-stock company without a royal charter
Louis XIV
Reign of the Sun King Louis XIV
France lagging behind Britain economically
Most citizens desperately poor
Jean-Baptiste Colbert
1619-1683
Louis’ famous finance minister, Colbert
His system of economic regulation: Colbertism
Heavily interventionist State trying to promote growth
Adam Smith
1723-1790
"[Colbert was] a man of probity, of great industry and knowledge of detail; of great experience and acuteness in the examination of public accounts, and of abilities, in short, every way fitted for introducing method and good order into the collection and expenditure of the public revenue. That Minister had unfortunately embraced all the prejudices of the mercantile system, in its nature and essence a system of restraint and regulation...The industry and commerce of a great country he endeavoured to regulate upon the same model as the departments of a public office; and instead of allowing every man to pursue his own interest his own way, upon the liberal plan of equality, liberty and justice, he bestowed upon certain branches of industry extraordinary privileges, while he laid others under as extraordinary restraints."
John Law
1671-1729
A Scottish economist who emigrated to Paris
Ideas about money
John Law
1671-1729
Louis XIV dies, his son Louis XV is governed by a regent
John Law became Controller General of Finances in France
Creates the Banque Royale, France’s first central bank
Monetized national debt
Law establishes the Compagnie du Mississippi, funded by Bank - a monopoly on trade in North American French colonies (primarily Louisiana)
National debt would be paid off via the Mississippi Company revenue
Popularity of shares meant the Bank had to print more currency to meet money demand
Eventually, government had to admit the Bank had printed more currency than exists
Bank customers try to redeem their paper currency in silver - a bank run
France has to devalue its currency, Law fled to Venice
Our first formal “school of thought” in the history of economics!
Physiocrats: sudden, intense period of economic writings in France in 1750s-1760s
François Quesnay
1694-1774
Originally a famous French doctor, wrote On the Circulation of Blood (note a theme)
Became popular at Versaille among French aristocracy, personal assistant to Madame du Pompadour (King's mistress)
Became a landowner, very interested in agriculture and technical improvements
Wrote articles for Diderot’s famous Encyclopedia on agriculture
Amassed a very dedicated group of followers -- “the physiocrats”
François Quesnay
1694-1774
Natural law governing economic affairs: “you simply obey the laws of nature”
Agriculture is the key to the economy and economic growth
Note the idea of “productive vs. sterile labor” will continue with Smith, Marx, etc.
François Quesnay
1694-1774
Not just landowner-favoritism and politics!
Land increased the net product of society by creating a surplus
Manufacturing in equilibrium only produces value equal to its cost of production
François Quesnay
1694-1774
First to focus on the entire economic system as a whole and the flow of wealth through the system
Cared also about the dynamics and growth of the economy over time
Tableau économique, the masterwork of Quesnay and the physiocrats
A macroeconomic model depicting the flow of income through the economy
François Quesnay
1694-1774
Attitude towards government: lassiez-faire
Natural order is superior to any human design, economy is self-regulating
Reject Colbertism and mercantilist government policy (interfers with agriculture to promote manufacturing!)
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
Connected with the physiocrats, but closer to modern ideas than them
Focus on capital and capitalists as lenders, and relationship to entrepreneurs
Louis XVI’s Controller-General of Finances
Reflections on the Formation and Distribution of Wealth (1770)
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
“Primary division of society into two classes: first, the productive class, or the Cultivators; and, second, the stipendiary class, or the Artisans.”
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
"It is evident that if land which produces a revenue equivalent to six sheep, can be sold for a certain value, which may always be expressed by a number of sheep equivalent to that value; this number will bear a fixed proportion with that of six, and will contain it a certain number of times. Thus the price of an estate is nothing else but its revenue multiplied a certain number of times...And so the current price of land is reckoned by the proportion of the value of the revenue; and the number of times, that the price of the sale contains that of the revenue, is called so many years purchase of the land." (p. 106 in Reader)
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
“[C]apitals in general, and the revenue of money...There is another way of being wealthy without working and without possessing land...”
“As soon as men are found, whose property in land assures them an annual revenue more than sufficient to satisfy all their wants, among them there are some, who, either uneasy respecting the future, or, perhaps, only provident, lay by a portion of what they gather every year, either with a view to guard against possible accidents, or to augment their enjoyments...”(p. 104 in Reader)
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
"Every species of labour, of cultivation, of industry, or of commerce, require advances. When people cultivate the ground, it is necessary to sow before they can reap; they must also support themselves until after the harvest. The more cultivation is brought to perfection and enlivened, the more considerable these advances are...It is only by means of considerable advances, that we obtain rich harvests, and that lands produce a large revenue. In whatever business they engage, the workman must be provided with tools, must have a sufficient quantity of such materials as the object of his labour requires; and he must subsist until the sale of his goods...The earth was ever the first and the only source of all riches; it is that which by cultivation produces all revenue; it is that which has afforded the first fund for advances, anterior to all cultivation." (p. 105 in Reader)
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
“Who shall maintain [the workers]...? It must then be one of those proprietors of capitals, or moveable accumulated property that must employ them, supplying them with advances in part for the construction and purchase of materials, and partly for the daily salaries of the workmen that are preparing them. It is he that must expect the sale of the leather, which is to return him not only his advances, but also an emolument sufficient to indemnify him for what his money would have procured him, had he turned it to the acquisition of lands, and moreover of the salary due to his troubles and care, to his risque, and even to his skill; for surely, upon equal profits, he would have preferred living without solicitude, on the revenue of land, which he could have purchased with the same capital.”(p. 109 in Reader)
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
“We have seen that every rich man is necessarily a possessor either of a capital in moveable riches, or funds equivalent to a capital. Any estate in land is of equal value with a capital; consequently every proprietor is a capitalist, but not every capitalist a proprietor of a real estate; and the possessor of a moveable capital may chuse to confer it on acquiring funds, or to improve it in enterprizes of the cultivating class, or of the industrious class. The capitalist, turned an undertaker in culture or industry, [is] taken up in the continuation of their enterprizes. The capitalist who keeps to the lending money, lends it either to a proprietor or to an undertaker. If he lends it to a proprietor, he seems to belong to the class of proprietors, and he becomes co-partitioner in the property; the income of the land is destined to the payment of the interest of his trust; the value of the funds is equal to the security of his capital” (p. 117 in Reader)
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
1727-1781
Various section titles:
The spirit of oeconomy continually augments the amount of capitals, luxury continually tends to destroy them.
The price of interest depends immediately on the proportion of the demand of the borrowers, with the offer of the lenders, and this proportion depends principally on the quantity of personal property, accumulated by an excess of revenue and of the annual produce to form capitals, whether these capitals exist in money or in any other kind of effects having a value in commerce.
The rate of interest ought to be fixed, as the price of every other merchandize, by the course of trade alone.
The current interest of money is the standard by which the abundance or scarcity of capitals may be judged; it is the scale on which the extent of a nation’s capacity for enterprizes in agriculture, manufactures, and commerce, may be reckoned.
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